BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Arkansas St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 95 Overall: (3-4) Overall Strength = 142.81
Conference: Sun Belt Conference Record: (1-2) | District: 1A-01 Record: (2-4)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 09-05-2026 Away L * 139.65 24 42 1A 49 (5-2) Memphis -4.67 -14.20 -13.33
2 09-12-2026 Home W 153.39 52 7 1B 69 (1-6) West Georgia 9.07 * 27.56 35.93
3 09-19-2026 Away L * 141.51 7 31 1A 35 (3-3) TCU -2.80 -14.68 -21.20
4 09-26-2026 Home W * 141.49 17 14 1A 110 (1-5) Kennesaw St -2.83 5.09 5.83
5 10-03-2026 Away L * * 151.54 20 23 1A 64 (5-2) Louisiana-Lafayette 7.22 -9.35 -10.22
6 10-08-2026 Home L * * 137.52 49 56 1A 81 (4-2) South Alabama -6.80 4.58 -0.20
7 10-17-2026 Away W * * 145.13 23 13 1A 131 (1-5) Southern Miss 0.81 10.92 9.19
8 10/24/2026 Home * * 1A 65 (4-2) Georgia St -6.44
9 11/07/2026 Home * * 1A 134 (0-6) Louisiana-Monroe 20.78
10 11/14/2026 Away * * 1A 112 (2-5) Coastal Carolina 3.41
11 11/21/2026 Away * * 1A 68 (4-2) Louisiana Tech -10.43
12 11/28/2026 Home * * 1A 114 (3-3) Troy 8.66
Averages 144.32 27.4 26.6
Best game: 153.39 = 45 point win over West Georgia
Worst game: 137.52 = 7 point loss to South Alabama
Team stdev: 6.04