BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Arkansas St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 119 Overall: (1-2) Overall Strength = 131.68
Conference: Sun Belt Conference Record: (0-0) | District: 1A-01 Record: (0-2)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 09-05-2026 Away L * 128.46 24 42 1A 91 (3-1) Memphis -6.44 -14.20 -11.56
2 09-12-2026 Home W 143.53 52 7 1B 90 (0-4) West Georgia 8.62 * 27.56 36.38
3 09-19-2026 Away L * 132.73 7 31 1A 78 (2-1) TCU -2.18 * -14.68 -21.82
4 09/26/2026 Home * 1A 99 (1-2) Kennesaw St -4.40
5 10/03/2026 Away * * 1A 96 (2-1) Louisiana-Lafayette -12.35
6 10/08/2026 Home * * 1A 83 (2-1) South Alabama -11.05
7 10/17/2026 Away * * 1A 124 (1-2) Southern Miss 0.64
8 10/24/2026 Home * * 1A 51 (2-1) Georgia St -23.79
9 11/07/2026 Home * * 1A 126 (0-3) Louisiana-Monroe 7.04
10 11/14/2026 Away * * 1A 54 (1-2) Coastal Carolina -29.49
11 11/21/2026 Away * * 1A 73 (1-2) Louisiana Tech -22.24
12 11/28/2026 Home * * 1A 84 (2-1) Troy -10.97
Averages 134.91 27.7 26.7
Best game: 143.53 = 45 point win over West Georgia
Worst game: 128.46 = 18 point loss to Memphis
Team stdev: 7.77